汶川地震震后恢复重建工程资金分布特点浅析及应用*

(1.中国地震局工程力学研究所,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080; 2.温州大学,浙江 温州 325035)

汶川地震; 恢复重建; 资金评估

Analyze and Application of the Cost Distribution Characteristics of Post-earthquake Rehabilitation after Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake
DAI Jun-wu1,WANG Yan-ru2

(1.Institute of Engineering Mechanics,CEA,Harbin 150080,Heilongjiang,China)(2.Wenzhou University,Wenzhou 325035,Zhejiang,China)

Wenchuan earthquake; rehabilitation and reconstruction; cost estimation

备注

采用统计拟合的方法,详细分析了汶川地震震后恢复重建工程资金的分布特点,依据震后恢复重建工程资金与烈度、人口、GDP和损失的拟合关系,提出了基于人口、地震灾害损失、GDP等因素的3个震后恢复重建工程资金快速评估模型,并利用宁洱地震数据验证经验公式的可行性。震后恢复工程资金分布特点及资金评估经验公式对未来地震进行恢复重建规划有良好的借鉴作用。

Using the statistical fitting method,we analyze the cost distribution characteristic of post-earthquake rehabilitation in Wenchuan M8.0 earthquake.According to the fitting relationship among population,GDP,loss,post-earthquake rehabilitation cost and intensity-impact factor,we propose three fast estimation models of post-earthquake rehabilitation cost based on population,earthquake disaster loss and GDP and use data of Ning'er earthquake to verify the feasibility of empirical formula.The cost distribution characteristic of post-earthquake rehabilitation and reconstruction and the empirical formula of cost estimation can provide a good reference for the recovery and reconstruction planning in future earthquake.