我国地震地下流体学科分析预报研究进展回顾*

(1.中国地震局地壳应力研究所,北京 100085; 2.云南省地震局,云南 昆明 650224; 3.中国地震台网中心,北京 100045)

地震; 地下流体; 分析预报; 进展回顾

A Review of Study in the Analysis and Prediction of Seismic Subsurface Fluids During Past Ten Years in China
SUN Xiaolong1,LIU Yaowei1,FU Hong2,YAN Rui3

(1.Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100085,China)(2.Yunnan Earthquake Agency,Kunming 650224,Yunnan,China)(3.China Earthquake Networks Center,Beijing 100045,China)

earthquake; subsurface fluids; analysis and prediction; review of progress

备注

回顾了自2008年汶川8.0级地震后我国地震地下流体学科分析预报研究工作的主要进展,从业务体系构建、新技术新方法探索、基础理论研究和震例回顾总结等几个方面梳理了相关成果与认识,并分析探讨了当前存在的主要问题和面临的困难。最后基于当前地震地下流体的科学技术积累和环境条件,提出了今后地下流体分析预报研究的发展方向,以期在“大应急体系”新要求和“防灾减灾救灾”改革新形势下谋求学科自身的着力点和增长点。

The study progress of the analysis and prediction of seismic subsurface fluids after Wenchuan M8.0 earthquake in China was reviewed briefly,mainly from the business system construction,explore new technology and method,the basic theory research and earthquake cases review.Then the current problems and difficulties were analyzed.Finally,based on the current technology in seismic subsurface fluid and environmental conditions,some future development directions were put forward to researchers for the consideration and discussion,in order to seek the own foothold and new growth point in subsurface fluids study under the new situation of “great emergency system” and “disaster prevention,reduction and relief” reform.