2022年青海门源6.9级地震前态矢量异常研究

(中国地震台网中心,北京 100045)

态矢量; 门源地震; 回溯性研究; 地震异常

Research on the State Vector Anomaly before the Menyuan,Qinghai MS6.9 Earthquake
ZHANG Xiaotao,YU Huaizhong

(China Earthquake Networks Center,Beijing 100045,China)

state vector; the Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake; retrospective study; seismic anomaly

DOI: 10.20015/j.cnki.ISSN1000-0666.2025.0026

备注

2022年1月8日青海门源6.9级地震前存在多项地震活动性和地球物理异常,利用态矢量方法回溯性研究其震前异常,通过遍历3°×3°至12°×12°的研究区域发现,选取8°×8°的研究范围能更好地反映震前异常; 震前门源地震存在态矢量的模(M)、态矢量增量的模(ΔM)、态矢量之间的夹角变化(φ)和态矢量与单位矢量的转角变化(φc)4个参量的异常; 4个参量中的M和ΔM映震效果要优于φ和φc。总体来看,门源地震前态矢量异常变化平稳,震前异常突出,属于中短期异常。
There were multiple seismic and geophysical anomalies before the Menyuan,Qinghai MS6.9 earthquake on January 8,2022.In this paper we adopted the state vector method to retrospectively study the anomalies before the Menyuan earthquake.By traversing the sub-regions from 3°×3° to 12°×12° around the epicenter of the Menyuan earthquake,we found that the 8°×8° sub-region can best reflect the Menyuan earthquake anomalies.Four parameters of the state vector became anomalous before the Menyuan earthquake.They were state vector modulus M,state vector modulus increment ΔM,the angle variation(φc)between state vector Vt-Δt and state vector Vt,the corner variation(Ve)between state vector Vt(at any time)and unit vector.Of these 4 parameters,M and ΔM have better precursory effect than φ and φc.Generally,before the Menyuan earthquake,these anomalies were continuous and significant.They were short-and medium-term anomalies.