[1]JIANG Cong,JIANG Changsheng,ZHANG Yan,et al.Progress of Earthquake Forecasting Research in the Last Decade in the World[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2020,43(02):208-215.
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Journal of Seismological Research[ISSN 1000-0666/CN 53-1062/P] Volume:
43
Number of periods:
2020 02
Page number:
208-215
Column:
Public date:
2020-06-10
- Title:
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Progress of Earthquake Forecasting Research in the Last Decade in the World
- Author(s):
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JIANG Cong1; JIANG Changsheng1; ZHANG Yan1; BI Jinmeng2
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(1.Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100081,China)(2.Tianjin Earthquake Agency,Tianjin 300201,China)
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- Keywords:
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earthquake forecasting; mitigation of earthquake disaster risk; earthquake forecast model; statistical test
- CLC:
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P315.72
- DOI:
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- Abstract:
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Tracking and summarizing the international progress in research related to earthquake forecast is an important way to adjust and optimize the scientific research of earthquake forecast in China and promote the construction of corresponding disciplines. In order to reflect the progress and trend of earthquake forecast research in the world for the past 10 years,this paper clarifies the possible “position” of earthquake forecast research of China in international research scale,by means of bibliometric analysis,introduction of international scientific research plan and summary of main research results; summarizes main international scientific progress in the past 10 years under the guidance of global scientific research project. Many aspects,including remarkable progress in the research,development of forecast model,improvement of Operational Earthquake Forecasting,expansion of application of earthquake disaster reduction,etc.,greatly enriched the scientific connotation of earthquake forecast discipline and built the effect of integration into economic and social development. All of items mentioned above will have important and enlightening significance to the scientific research in earthquake forecast in China for the future.