[1]LU Minggui,GU Hongbiao,GONG Haobo,et al.Effectiveness Test of Seismic Prediction of Water Level in Fluid Monitoring Well Based on the Molchan Diagram Method[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2024,47(02):200-211.[doi:10.20015/j.cnki.ISSN1000-0666.2024.0011
]
Copy
Effectiveness Test of Seismic Prediction of Water Level in Fluid Monitoring Well Based on the Molchan Diagram Method
Journal of Seismological Research[ISSN 1000-0666/CN 53-1062/P] Volume:
47
Number of periods:
2024 02
Page number:
200-211
Column:
Public date:
2023-12-01
- Title:
- Effectiveness Test of Seismic Prediction of Water Level in Fluid Monitoring Well Based on the Molchan Diagram Method
- Keywords:
- cross-fault observation; earthquake forecasting effectiveness; monitoring conditions; groundwater; tectonic conditions; Beijing
- CLC:
- P135.72
- DOI:
- 10.20015/j.cnki.ISSN1000-0666.2024.0011
- Abstract:
- In order to study the prediction efficiency of the water level in the observational wells,and to explore the relationship between the water-level anomaly and the earthquake,we process the observed water-level data of Deyang Well,Jianchuan Well,Zuoshu Well and Menyuan Well by the difference method and the tidal load-unloading ratio method.Then,using the Molchan chart,we test the prediction efficiency of the 4 monitoring wells for the prediction of the occurrence-time,and the magnitude of the earthquakes in different blocks.The results show that the water level in the 4 monitoring Wells are efficient for the prediction of earthquakes which may occur within 180 days,and effect for the prediction of the moderate- and strong-earthquakes within a certain range.The prediction efficiency is affected by the distribution of tectonic structures; in the structure-developed areas,the water-level anomaly is efficient for the earthquake prediction.
- References:
- -
- Similar References:
Memo
-
Last Update:
2024-03-20