[1]SU You-jin,LI Zhong-hua.Interval Distribution and Probability Model of the Strong Earthquakes with M≥6.0 in Yunnan[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2011,34(01):0-.
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Journal of Seismological Research[ISSN 1000-0666/CN 53-1062/P] Volume:
34
Number of periods:
2011 01
Page number:
0-
Column:
Public date:
2011-03-09
- Title:
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Interval Distribution and Probability Model of the Strong Earthquakes with M≥6.0 in Yunnan
- Author(s):
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SU You-jin; LI Zhong-hua
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(Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province,Kunming 650224,Yunnan,China)
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- Keywords:
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M≥6.0 strong earthquakes; interval distribution features; probability model; prediction-warning index; Yunnan region
- CLC:
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P315.75
- DOI:
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- Abstract:
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The interval distribution features of the earthquakes with M≥6.0,M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 occurred from 1900 to 2009 in Yunnan region are systematically analyzed in this paper.Based on the G-R relation and Poisson model,the probability model of the earthquakes with M≥6.0,M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 are built by using the M≥5.0 earthquake catalogs.Then,the three-grade,prediction-warning indexes(C(yellow),B(orange),A(red))for the earthquakes with M≥6.0,M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 are developed on the basis of the interval features and the probability model.