[1]LIAO Lixia,QIN Shuanglong,HONG Xuyu.Establishment,Application and Reflection of Fluid Earthquake Prediction Index in South China[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2020,43(02):310-319.
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Journal of Seismological Research[ISSN 1000-0666/CN 53-1062/P] Volume:
43
Number of periods:
2020 02
Page number:
310-319
Column:
Public date:
2020-06-10
- Title:
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Establishment,Application and Reflection of Fluid Earthquake Prediction Index in South China
- Author(s):
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LIAO Lixia; QIN Shuanglong; HONG Xuyu
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(Earthquake Administration of Fujian Province,Fuzhou 350003,Fujian,China)
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- Keywords:
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South China; index system of fluid seismic prediction; Beiliu earthquake
- CLC:
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P315.72
- DOI:
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- Abstract:
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In order to improve the level and effectiveness of fluid earthquake prediction in South China,the index system of fluid earthquake prediction in South China is established on the basis of earthquake cases in China and daily work experience,and it is tested in daily earthquake tracking work in South China M5.2 Toking Guangxi Beiliu earthquake as an example,this paper makes a comparative analysis in temporal and spatial domains,and finds that there are limitations in the application of spatial and geochemical indexes in the index system.The magnitude strength index based on the earthquake case has some deviation in magnitude determination.we introspected the index system,anomaly,interference,and consultation mechanism,and the following conclusions are drawn:when a single prediction index is used for earthquake prediction,it should be comprehensively determined according to the characteristics of different regions,combined with multiple measurement items and other discipline data,so as to obtain more accurate judgment results.Spatial analysis can not only focus on one fault zone,but also analyze the group fault zone from a larger regional scope.Seismic anomalies and interferences are sometimes symbiotic or associated,and cannot be directly negated their structural causes because of the interference around them.Anomaly analysis should not be limited to a province,but should strengthen the communication and cooperation among the disciplines in a region,and build a platform for full communication.